Jesse Michels → argument architecture
Evidence is not a verdict. Map the alternatives.
This lab turns one careful moment from Jeffrey Mishlove’s interview into a manipulable reasoning model. Change the number of evidence directions and the controls around private details to see which explanations remain live.
▶ Start at the “nine directions” explanation · 45:57What the evidence can distinguish
Several reports may converge, but competing explanations remain open.
H1 · Survival
The deceased personality persists and communicates. This is the thesis Mishlove says the essay evaluated.
H2 · Living-agent ESP
The medium accesses information psychically, without the deceased personality surviving. Mishlove names this alternative at 48:35.
H3 · Cold reading or leakage
Information arrives through cues, prior access, selection, or ordinary inference rather than a paranormal channel.
H4 · Chance and reporting effects
Memorable hits are retained while misses, base rates, and repeated attempts are undercounted.
Directions represented
Interpretation boundary: the transcript presents claims, examples, and competing hypotheses. This lab makes their logic explicit; it is not a scientific validation or probability calculator.